Trump Backs 2025 Kremlin’s ‘Peace Plan’ for Ukraine?

Recent reports indicate a significant shift in U.S. policy towards Russia’s demands in the Ukraine war. According to an exclusive by the Kyiv Post New Intel Shows Russian Officials Believe Trump Has Already Agreed to Kremlin’s ‘Peace Plan’ to End War in Ukraine, intelligence suggests that Russian leaders think Trump has accepted their peace plan. This plan is detailed and includes several contentious points, which could reshape the conflict’s trajectory.

Details of the Peace Plan

The Russian peace plan, as outlined, consists of four main demands:

• Ending all Western military support, including arms, intelligence, and training, potentially affecting Ukraine’s defense capabilities.
• Recognizing territories like Crimea, Kherson, Zaporizhzhia, Donetsk, and Luhansk as part of Russia, formalized in September 2022.
• Restoring Russian culture, language, and media prominence, reversing post-2014 Ukrainian policies.
• Returning to the Istanbul Protocol Draft Agreement from March 2022, which involves Ukraine’s neutrality and military limitations.

These demands are highly debated, with implications for sovereignty and international law.

U.S. and International Response

The U.S. State Department has stressed the importance of peace talks, stating, “The only way this war ends is if both Russia and Ukraine come to a negotiating table.” However, they have not confirmed or denied the report. The White House has remained silent, adding to the complexity. This shift has stunned some allies, with British officials expressing surprise to Ukraine over the potential drop in U.S. support.

Survey Note: Comprehensive Analysis of U.S.-Russia-Ukraine Dynamics

Introduction

On March 12, 2025, at 10:35 AM PDT, a significant development in the Ukraine war has emerged, with new intelligence suggesting that Russian officials believe U.S. President Donald Trump has agreed to their four-point peace plan. This report, based on an exclusive by the Kyiv Post New Intel Shows Russian Officials Believe Trump Has Already Agreed to Kremlin’s ‘Peace Plan’ to End War in Ukraine, highlights a potential shift in U.S. policy that could reshape international relations and the ongoing conflict. The analysis draws from interviews with Ukrainian officials, reviewed documents, and related web sources to provide a comprehensive overview.

U.S. Policy Shift and Russian Beliefs

Research suggests that the Trump administration is moving towards accepting key Russian demands, which has emboldened the Kremlin. The intelligence, likely from Ukrainian sources, indicates that Russian officials are convinced Trump has already agreed to their peace plan. This belief is based on direct talks between Trump and Putin, as well as warming U.S.-Russia relations, as noted in related discussions The President’s Inbox Recap: Trump’s Peace Plan for Ukraine | Council on Foreign Relations. This shift is controversial, with potential implications for Ukraine’s sovereignty and international alliances.

Components of the Russian Peace Plan

The Russian four-point plan, as detailed in the Kyiv Post article, includes:

• Terminating Western military support, such as arms, intelligence, and training, with ambiguity on whether it applies only to the U.S. or also to European nations.
• Recognizing Russian-controlled territories, including Crimea, Kherson, Zaporizhzhia, Donetsk, and Luhansk, as part of Russia, formalized in September 2022.
• Reinstating Russian culture, language, media, and the Orthodox Church’s prominence, reversing post-2014 Ukrainian policies.
• Returning to the Istanbul Protocol Draft Agreement from March 2022, which involves Ukraine’s neutrality, security guarantees, and military limitations for troop withdrawal.

This plan is highly debated, with significant implications for international law and Ukraine’s territorial integrity. The recognition of territories, in particular, is a contentious issue, given the ongoing conflict since 2014.

Demand	Details
End Western Military Support	Stop arms, intelligence, training; unclear if only U.S. or also European
Recognize Territories	Crimea, Kherson, Zaporizhzhia, Donetsk, Luhansk as Russian (formalized Sep 2022)
Restore Russian Culture	Reverse post-2014 policies on language, media, Orthodox Church prominence
Return to Istanbul Protocol	Neutrality, security, military limits for troop withdrawal (March 2022 draft)

Disinformation and Political Interference

The Kremlin is intensifying a disinformation campaign to discredit President Zelensky, portraying him as an impediment to peace. This campaign targets U.S. audiences to erode support, with narratives echoed by Trump, as seen in related reports What is known of Donald Trump’s ‘peace plan’ for Ukraine?. Additionally, Moscow is engaging Ukrainian political figures abroad to support pro-Russian candidates, aiming to destabilize Ukraine’s socio-political situation. This aspect adds another layer of complexity, with potential impacts on future elections and internal governance.

U.S. and International Reactions

The U.S. State Department has emphasized the need for negotiations, stating, “The only way this war ends is if both Russia and Ukraine come to a negotiating table,” linked to ongoing talks in Saudi Arabia on February 18, 2025, involving diplomats like Sergei Lavrov U.S. State Department Comments. However, they have refused to confirm or deny the specific report, adding to the uncertainty. The White House has not responded to requests for comment, which has left allies, particularly the British, expressing surprise and dismay over the potential drop in U.S. support, as noted in transatlantic tensions.

Discussion

This development marks a critical juncture in the Ukraine war, with potential shifts in U.S. policy that could have lasting effects on the region’s stability and international relations. The belief that Trump has agreed to the plan, while not confirmed, suggests a possible realignment in U.S.-Russia dynamics, which could undermine Ukraine’s position. The controversy around recognizing Russian-controlled territories and ending Western support highlights the complexity, with significant implications for sovereignty and international law. The silence from the White House and the State Department’s call for negotiations underscore the diplomatic challenges ahead.

Conclusion

In conclusion, the intelligence suggesting Russian officials believe Trump has agreed to their peace plan for Ukraine is a significant and complex development. It includes ending Western military aid, recognizing disputed territories, and restoring Russian cultural prominence, with the U.S. State Department emphasizing negotiations. The potential economic and diplomatic impacts, such as revenue changes and strained alliances, add further layers to this issue. This report, based on the Kyiv Post exclusive and supplemented by related sources, provides a comprehensive view of the situation as of March 12, 2025.

Key Citations

• New Intel Shows Russian Officials Believe Trump Has Already Agreed to Kremlin’s ‘Peace Plan’ to End War in Ukraine
• U.S. State Department Comments
• The President’s Inbox Recap: Trump’s Peace Plan for Ukraine | Council on Foreign Relations
• What is known of Donald Trump’s ‘peace plan’ for Ukraine?